It's a Bubble


There.  I said it.  I'm calling it.

Where others tread gingerly around this topic, I'm going out on a limb -- we're in a technology bubble.  How come so few will say it? It's kinda like cleverly called oneself, "The Artist Formerly Known as Prince."  If it looks like a bubble, feels like a bubble, and pops like a bubble, isn't it so?

Ironically, it feels like we're partying like it's 1999.  At least when you go to the parties, the bars, and the restaurants.  I feel the energy.  The euphoria. The optimism. And the darker cousins -- greed, fear, and arrogance.   (BTW, for those three super smart people sitting outside of Beretta yesterday, thank you so much for your insight on the future of the media, the Internet, and the world.)

The good news is that the bubble is still inflating.  Sure, there are a few hissing sounds and maybe that's good.  These are the warning signs. And, there are some sane voices out there with a good perspective on things.  Listen carefully and act:  You still have time to take when the taking is good.   Listen to these people.   And, to put things in perspective, this bubble still is far cry from the bubble of yesteryear.

Will it pop?  Or will it quietly deflate and we won't suffer the consequences  of a traumatic downturn?  And then, all most by definition, it won't  be a bubble after all.

Key dates to watch:   August 3 if we can't get this debt limit thing worked out.  And January 23, 2013 -- after the elections.

In the mean time, it feels like 1999.  Keep partying.  But, remember to take something off the table too.  And save for a rainy day.

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This page contains a single entry by published on July 11, 2011 4:13 PM.

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